Tuesday, August 3, 2010

If SKC report is against Telangana, it will be met with serious agitation and violence. Rosayya is not capable of handling such situation. Entire INC leaders from Telangana will lose their face with the electorate at least for the time being. Naxals have already in full control of T agitation and will try to create a internal war like situation in AP to divert the centers push against them elsewhere. Strong political leadership (Does not mean leadership willing to use force at the drop of a hat) is not available in AP even now and unlikely to emerge in near future. Narsimhan may be forced to take control of the police at that time. We do not know what will be the end result. If SKC report is for Telangana then also there will be serious opposition from other districts. If all the statistical details now available are correct it is unlikely the report on the division of the state is based on the facts but on “emotional” basis. Non Telangana people are taking insults every day for many years will not stop. What happened in 10.12.2010 is only a small example. The present silence from the non Telangana political leaders cannot be said as willingness to accept whatever Rajamatha and her chamchas dish out on them. One more thing is the irrigation even from Nagarjuna Sagar. I do not know if any one in rest of the AP comprehended that they are losing all the water and what will happen if major irrigation projects are left to these TRS and its goons. Rayalaseema which is already quite bad will be most hit. Once this idea catches up there will be serious agitations from Non Telangana people. Major procedural problem is with getting opinion of the state assembly. This is absolute requirement, even if not binding on the Parliament. The majority is against the division of the state and are going vote against any resolution. Unlike the case of Gujarat which is divided on the basis of language (a reason many people at that time feared will encourage sub national identities) there is no rational basis for the Telangana which can be applied to other such demands across India. Just as Justice Krishna said if people wish is the sole factor then there can be hundreds of the states in the country (all fighting with each other for water, boundaries and what not). I do not know how for all the political parties at national level to blindly support the resolution which is voted out by the state assembly. Ultimately the problem is going to land on the lap of Supreme Court on the same question of the lack of positive opinion or resolution from the state assembly and lack of basis for the division of the state. No one in Telangana is ready to tell the public there that new state if it comes is not going to give any great advantage in this competitive world. There is hardly any scope for Government jobs and all private investment is going to fly away as the state is going to be under defacto rule of naxals. Further there will be serious competition from the other state day in and day out. New state is not a majic wand which will cure all the problemns. Similarly no one is ready to tell people in rest of the AP which will pose serious problems of finding a capital, getting a new administrative set up and everything once again from zero but it is not the end of the days. With determination and dedication they can rebuild what is left of AP. But more than Hyderabad, water will be major and explosive issue. No one is talking about it. Hope when the talk it is in restrained manner.